Halfway through September, we are rapidly approaching the end of the 2016 election season, and the question that is on everyone from the voter’s to the candidate’s minds is:
“Which states are purple?”
According to RealClearPolitics.com, the ten states that are still being considered “toss ups” for the 2016 election are: Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, and Georgia.
While most states on this list are not new to the rampant media attention and campaigning that comes along with being a purple state, some come as somewhat of a surprise. Specifically, Georgia is a state where a more detailed look is worth taking. For those unfamiliar with the term, a purple state, or swing or battleground state, is one where the Democratic and the Republican parties have similar amounts of support from the voters in the state which prohibit it from being labeled as “red” for a Republican majority or “blue” for a Democratic majority.
The state of Georgia has been long been considered a red state, yet today, experts are saying that this election season is the closest that Georgia has come to being a blue state since the 1992 Clinton election. Among the pundits and analysts who explain this possible shift is Markos Moulitsas. As he aptly notes, according to the most recent data provided us by the U.S. Census, the minority population in Georgia has risen from 37% to 44% in the span of a single decade. In fact, he estimates that Georgia will transition to a majority-minority state by the year 2020 which in turn would, by the logic of Moulitsas, turn the historically-red state blue. Almost needless to say, as we have seen election after election, minorities tend heavily toward the Democratic Party.
Over the past few months the gap between the presidential candidates, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, has been decreasing until it disappeared altogether according to a recent Fox 5 Atlanta poll. The poll showed that the two presidential candidates were tied at 43% a piece.
To someone unaware of this hidden shift in Georgia it would seem unlikely that Georgia’s Republican majority would come to an end so abruptly. Consider it a time to drop any notions of your vote being rendered meaningless because with less than 50 days remaining until the presidential election and the candidates stuck in a gridlock for the state’s majority of voters, it seems that the peach state might indeed turn purple. Only time will tell.
— Caroline Maughon is a Junior studying Political Science and a First-Time Contributor to THE ARCH CONSERVATIVE
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